Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.