Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.79%) and 0-3 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.