Hartlepool

3 - 1

Wealdstone

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.