We said: Azerbaijan 2-1 Estonia
A long-awaited win could be on the cards for Azerbaijan, as they have the benefit of home advantage and Estonia do not tend to travel well.
Neither side is watertight in defence, so goals are surely guaranteed at Qabala City Stadium, where the hosts can keep hopes of League C survival alive.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 65.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.7) 
-0.21) 
