Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.07%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.