Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.73%) and 2-0 (5.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.