Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Stoke City Under-23s win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
