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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Leeds logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Leeds

Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United

Both sides head into this meeting in excellent form and it is very difficult to predict an outcome as a result. These teams drew 0-0 at the Amex Stadium last season and we can envisage a share of the spoils once again, albeit with a couple of goals for both sets of fans to enjoy this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
51.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)51.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)73.58% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7%20.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33%52.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)36.56% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)73.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.06%
    Leeds United 23.89%
    Draw 25.04%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.06%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.89%

How you voted: Brighton vs Leeds

Brighton & Hove Albion
39.5%
Draw
31.3%
Leeds United
29.2%
195
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 2pm
Leeds
1-1
Brighton
Struijk (90+2')
Firpo (71'), Rodrigo (81'), Cooper (84')
Welbeck (21')
Caicedo (65'), Lamptey (90+2')
Nov 27, 2021 5.30pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Brighton
2-0
Leeds
Gross (14' pen.), Welbeck (79')
Gross (76')

Ayling (88')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Mar 18, 2017 5.30pm
Leeds
2-0
Brighton
Wood (63', 85' pen.)

Rosenior (37'), Murray (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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