Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
58.08% ( 0.01) | 23.42% | 18.51% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.58% ( 0) | 51.42% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.77% ( 0) | 73.23% ( -0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.55% ( 0.01) | 17.45% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.09% ( 0.01) | 47.92% ( -0) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.15% ( 0) | 41.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.7% ( 0) | 78.3% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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