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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Southampton logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Southampton

Roberts (12'), Collins (44')
Cork (38'), Tarkowski (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bednarek (73'), Perraud (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Burnley 1-1 Southampton

The Clarets and the Saints played out a 2-2 draw at St Mary's earlier this season, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards on Thursday. The pressure is all on relegation-threatened Burnley to claim maximum points on home soil, but we expect Hasenhuttl's side to frustrate the hosts and secure a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawSouthampton
28.76%25.45%45.79%
Both teams to score 53.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.97%50.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99%72.01%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.04%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16%21.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.93%55.07%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 28.76%
    Southampton 45.78%
    Draw 25.45%
BurnleyDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 7.95%
2-1 @ 6.96%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.76%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 4.67%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.78%
0-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.78%

How you voted: Burnley vs Southampton

Burnley
34.7%
Draw
21.7%
Southampton
43.7%
277
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Southampton
2-2
Burnley
Livramento (41'), Broja (50')
Elyounoussi (81')
Cornet (13', 57')
Cork (42'), Rodriguez (70'), Westwood (72')
Apr 4, 2021 12pm
Southampton
3-2
Burnley
Armstrong (31'), Ings (42'), Redmond (66')
Wood (12' pen.), Vydra (28')
Sep 26, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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