Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.67%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.84%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.
