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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Porto

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Porto

Gyokeres (72' pen.), Catamo (90+3')
Catamo (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Varela (30'), Gonzalez (54'), Otavio (69'), Loader (70'), Eustaquio (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-5 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, August 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Porto

 The last five meetings between the two teams have seen a combined 19 goals scored and we anticipate another action-packed contest this weekend. While both sides have flown out of the blocks this season, Sporting Lisbon's home advantage gives them a slight edge here and we fancy them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Porto had a probability of 22.66% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
57.49% (-0.5 -0.5) 19.85% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 22.66% (0.398 0.4)
Both teams to score 67.05% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.52% (0.019000000000005 0.02)29.47% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.44% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.63% (-0.12 -0.12)10.36% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.15% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)33.85% (0.26499999999999 0.26)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (0.32000000000001 0.32)25.19% (-0.323 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.07% (0.439 0.44)59.93% (-0.442 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 57.49%
    Porto 22.66%
    Draw 19.85%
Sporting LisbonDrawPorto
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.87% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 57.49%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 2.21% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.6% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.055 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 22.66%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Porto

Sporting Lisbon
55.4%
Draw
25.0%
Porto
19.6%
56
Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 8.15pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
3-4
Porto
Inacio (6'), Goncalves (9'), Tcherno Quenda (24')
Quaresma (72'), Amorim (90+4'), Diomande (97')
Galeno (28', 66'), Gonzalez (64'), Jaime (101')
Gonzalez (45+2'), Varela (67')
> Preview
May 26, 2024 5.15pm
Final
Porto
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (25'), Taremi (100' pen.)
Mario (37'), Varela (66'), Pedro (90+1'), Conceicao (97'), Conceicao (103'), Evanilson (104'), Hjulmand (106')
Conceicao (98')
St Juste (20')
Santos (30'), Gyokeres (39'), Braganca (78'), Neto (81'), Paulinho (109'), Otavio (110')
St Juste (29')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 31
Porto
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Evanilson (7'), Pepe (40')
Wendell (76'), Galeno (90')
Gyokeres (87', 88')
St Juste (45+2'), Hjulmand (90+2')
Edwards (90')
> Match Report
Dec 18, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sporting Lisbon
2-0
Porto
Gyokeres (11'), Goncalves (60')
Santos (25'), Quaresma (57'), Inacio (70'), Esgaio (90+7'), Hjulmand (90+7')

Pepe (15'), Varela (17'), Taremi (68'), Conceicao (81')
Pepe (51')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 20
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Porto
Chermiti (90+7')
Uribe (60'), Pepe (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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