Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.94% ( 0.17) | 27.06% ( 0.06) | 31% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% ( -0.29) | 55.48% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% ( -0.24) | 76.67% ( 0.24) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( -0.05) | 26.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.83% ( -0.06) | 61.17% ( 0.06) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% ( -0.31) | 32.81% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% ( -0.35) | 69.38% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
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