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Europa League
Juventus logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Sporting Lisbon

Juventus
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Gatti (73')
Rabiot (24'), Vlahovic (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Inacio (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Juventus and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon

 Masters of taking the lead and then grinding out a gritty victory, a well-drilled Juventus side can nullify Sporting's lively attack and take a slim advantage with them to Lisbon next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawSporting Lisbon
31.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 25.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 42.71% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.55% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)65.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.07% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.1% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.9% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 31.65%
    Sporting Lisbon 42.71%
    Draw 25.64%
JuventusDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.65%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.56% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.71%

How you voted: Juventus vs Sporting Lisbon

Juventus
72.6%
Draw
11.2%
Sporting Lisbon
16.1%
223
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Group D
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Juventus
Cesar (20')
Dost (67'), Acuna (78'), Coates (79')
Higuain (79')
Mandzukic (26'), Cuadrado (89')
> Match Report
Oct 18, 2017 7.45pm
Group D
Juventus
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Pjanic (29'), Mandzukic (84')
Sturaro (68'), Chiellini (83')
Sandro (12' og.)
Coates (25'), Fernandes (37')
> Match Report
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