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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
3 - 1
Nizhny Novgorod

Obukhov (2'), Adamov (51'), Marin (87')
Perez (14'), Florentin (24')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boselli (43')
Maiga (70'), Nigmatullin (87')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Rubin Kazan
Monday, April 8 at 3pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-4 Krasnodar
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
56.21% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 24.82% (-0.055 -0.05) 18.98% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 44.86% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96% (0.143 0.14)56.04% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (0.116 0.12)77.12% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.11% (0.093000000000004 0.09)19.89% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.99% (0.151 0.15)52.01% (-0.151 -0.15)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)44.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)80.13% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 56.2%
    Nizhny Novgorod 18.98%
    Draw 24.81%
OrenburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 14.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.98%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 9
Nizhny Novgorod
3-1
Orenburg
Correia (45'), Sevikyan (53'), Boselli (75')
Stamatov (56'), Aleksandrov (70'), Maiga (90+4')
Perez (28')
Kavalyow (73')
Apr 30, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 25
Orenburg
1-0
Nizhny Novgorod
Oganesyan (79')
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 10
Nizhny Novgorod
0-2
Orenburg
Ayupov (31'), Ektov (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar18116134122239
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit18123337122539
3Spartak Moscow18114336142237
4Dynamo Moscow18105337201735
5Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv1811253326735
6CSKA MoscowCSKA1894528141431
7RostovRostov187562928126
8Rubin Kazan187562526-126
9Akron TolyattiAkron186482234-1222
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1853101929-1018
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala183871117-617
12Nizhny Novgorod1844101534-1916
13KhimkiKhimki183782235-1316
14Fakel182881125-1414
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny182791632-1613
16OrenburgOrenburg1815121633-178


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