Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 85.25%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Rotor Volgograd had a probability of 4.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 4-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Rotor Volgograd win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.