Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.