Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.