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Rayo Vallecano logo
Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
Jul 9, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
3 - 2
Numancia

Suarez (25' pen.), de Frutos (45+4'), Villar (66' pen.)
Qasmi (28'), Comesana (57'), Martin (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marin (57'), Curro (72')
Moran (54'), Escassi (54'), Curro (90+5'), Nacho (90+5')
Marin (65')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Numancia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Numancia had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Numancia win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawNumancia
53.13%26.5%20.38%
Both teams to score 42.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.74%60.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.57%80.44%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11%22.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36%56.64%
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.1%44.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.15%80.86%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 53.12%
    Numancia 20.38%
    Draw 26.49%
Rayo VallecanoDrawNumancia
1-0 @ 15.15%
2-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 8.95%
3-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 4.4%
4-0 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.23%
1-2 @ 4.86%
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 20.38%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Numancia
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Calero (23'), Sanhaji (73')
Ledes (66')
Ulloa (19', 52')
Saveljich (35'), Valentin (63'), Catena (77')
Jan 21, 2018 5pm
Numancia
0-0
Rayo Vallecano
Etxeberria (78')
Trejo (49'), Beltran (90')
Aug 26, 2017 7.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Numancia
Trejo (19', 21' pen.)
Lopez (14')
Milla (49'), Maly Diamanka (63')
Escassi (21'), Milla (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Almeria21116440291139
2Racing de SantanderRacing2211652924539
3MirandesMirandes2211552516938
4ElcheElche21106528151336
5Real Oviedo2210663430436
6Levante2198433231035
7Huesca2296630201033
8Granada229663627933
9Sporting GijonSporting Gijon228773026431
10Malaga2261332220231
11Real ZaragozaZaragoza218583126529
12CastellonCastellon228593132-129
13EibarEibar218492022-228
14Albacete226972730-327
15CordobaCordoba217682833-527
16Burgos227591826-826
17Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo216783028225
18CadizCadiz215882430-623
19Eldense2156102129-821
20Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol2231091428-1419
21CartagenaCartagena2243151536-2115
22TenerifeTenerife2135131632-1614


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