Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
28.34% | 25.98% | 45.67% |
Both teams to score 51.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.59% | 52.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.91% | 74.08% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.82% | 33.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.22% | 69.78% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% | 22.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.35% | 56.65% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 8.38% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.34% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.06% Total : 45.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |