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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
vs.
Napoli

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We say: Atalanta BC 1-1 Napoli

 Chasers Atalanta excel at home, while Serie A leaders Napoli are a force to be reckoned with on the road. Therefore, an intense contest between two of Italy's most respected coaches could end with the spoils shared, perhaps handing an advantage to Inter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli has a probability of 29.24% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Napoli win is 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
44.7% (-2.428 -2.43) 26.07% (0.86 0.86) 29.24% (1.571 1.57)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-1.658 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-2.648 -2.65)52.29% (2.651 2.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-2.325 -2.33)73.99% (2.328 2.33)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (-2.221 -2.22)23.31% (2.224 2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (-3.346 -3.35)57.26% (3.349 3.35)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)32.44% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-0.223 -0.22)68.96% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 44.69%
    Napoli 29.24%
    Draw 26.06%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.455 -0.46)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.381 -0.38)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.287 -0.29)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 44.69%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.42 0.42)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.764 0.76)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.818 0.82)
1-2 @ 6.98% (0.199 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.437 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.155 0.16)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.24%

Who will win Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta and Napoli?

Atalanta BC
Draw
Napoli
Atalanta BC
36.4%
Draw
45.5%
Napoli
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 26
Napoli
2-0
Atalanta
Kvaratskhelia (60'), Rrahmani (77')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913
> Serie A Full Table


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