Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
13.79% ( -0) | 17.72% ( -0.01) | 68.49% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.46% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.07% ( 0.05) | 34.93% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.09% ( 0.06) | 56.91% ( -0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.25% ( 0.03) | 37.75% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.47% ( 0.03) | 74.53% ( -0.03) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.71% ( 0.02) | 9.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.64% ( 0.04) | 31.35% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 13.79% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.72% | 0-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 4.57% Total : 68.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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