Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
We said: Lecce 0-2 AC Milan
Curiously, Lecce are one of two sides yet to score during the first 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season; Milan have netted seven times in the same period (the joint-most in Italy's top flight). The hosts cannot afford a slow start on Saturday, though, as their visitors will be fired up by recent setbacks and are likely to come out all guns blazing.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25% . A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.16% .
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.9%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (5.8%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood .
Result Lecce Draw AC Milan 20.16% ( -0.02) 22.6% ( -0.01) 57.25% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0)
54.19% ( 0.02) 45.81% ( -0.02)
31.88% ( 0.02) 68.12% ( -0.02)
63.21% ( -0.01) 36.79% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.42% ( -0.01) 73.58% ( 0.02)
84.25% ( 0.02) 15.75% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 55.13% ( 0.04) 44.87% ( -0.04)
Lecce 20.16%
AC Milan 57.25%
Draw 22.6%
Lecce Draw AC Milan 1-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 20.16% 1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.6% 0-1 @ 10.71% 0-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.25%
How you voted: Lecce vs AC Milan
95
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Arsenal vs. Man Utd - prediction, team news, lineups
2
Blues over Bernabeu? Chelsea leapfrog Real Madrid in pursuit of 'prodigy'
3
Arteta's decimated attack: Arsenal injury list for North London derby
4
Monday's Transfer Talk Update: Raphinha, Fati, Hato
5
Nott'm Forest vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups
6
A Havertz horror show: 10-man Man United dump Arsenal out of FA Cup
7
B. Leverkusen vs. Mainz - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Wolfsburg vs. Borussia M'bach - prediction, team news, lineups
9
West Ham vs. Fulham: Head-to-head record and past meetings
10
Chelsea vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Rugby Union Stories
Preview: Ireland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: England vs. Japan - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Scotland vs. Australia - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Wales vs. South Africa - prediction, team news, lineups
Preview: Italy vs. New Zealand - prediction, team news, lineups
Trending Basketball Stories
Preview: Boston Celtics vs. New Orleans Pelicans - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Houston Rockets vs. Memphis Grizzlies - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies - prediction, team news, form guide
Preview: New York Knicks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - prediction, team news, form guide