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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Bologna logo

Napoli
3 - 2
Bologna

Jesus (45'), Lozano (49'), Osimhen (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zirkzee (41'), Barrow (51')
Dominguez (20'), Skorupski (58'), Sansone (90+1'), Lykogiannis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 4-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Bologna

Offering little attacking threat - particularly if Arnautovic is unable to start - Bologna should not stand in the way of Napoli extending their superb sequence of results this term. With an increasingly deep squad, the hosts can use a variety of personnel up front - all of whom should be too hot for their visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawBologna
75.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 15.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)35.09% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (-0.064 -0.06)57.09% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.22% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)27.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)45.13% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)81.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 75.26%
    Bologna 9.48%
    Draw 15.25%
NapoliDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.73% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.2% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 75.26%
1-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 15.25%
1-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 9.48%

How you voted: Napoli vs Bologna

Napoli
93.7%
Draw
1.8%
Bologna
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2022 5.30pm
Bologna
0-2
Napoli

Soumaoro (43'), Theate (57'), Binks (90+4')
Lozano (20', 47')
Zielinski (52')
Oct 28, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
3-0
Bologna
Fabian (18'), Insigne (41' pen., 62' pen.)
Zambo Anguissa (32')

Medel (40')
Mar 7, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
3-1
Bologna
Insigne (8', 76'), Osimhen (65')
Koulibaly (52'), Rui (85')
Soriano (73')
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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