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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Bologna logo

Napoli
3 - 2
Bologna

Jesus (45'), Lozano (49'), Osimhen (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zirkzee (41'), Barrow (51')
Dominguez (20'), Skorupski (58'), Sansone (90+1'), Lykogiannis (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 4-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Bologna

Offering little attacking threat - particularly if Arnautovic is unable to start - Bologna should not stand in the way of Napoli extending their superb sequence of results this term. With an increasingly deep squad, the hosts can use a variety of personnel up front - all of whom should be too hot for their visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawBologna
75.27% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 15.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 9.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.91% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)35.09% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.91% (-0.064 -0.06)57.09% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.22% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)27.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)45.13% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)81.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 75.26%
    Bologna 9.48%
    Draw 15.25%
NapoliDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.73% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.2% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
5-0 @ 3.16% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 75.26%
1-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.53% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 15.25%
1-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 9.48%

How you voted: Napoli vs Bologna

Napoli
93.7%
Draw
1.8%
Bologna
4.5%
111
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2022 5.30pm
Bologna
0-2
Napoli

Soumaoro (43'), Theate (57'), Binks (90+4')
Lozano (20', 47')
Zielinski (52')
Oct 28, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
3-0
Bologna
Fabian (18'), Insigne (41' pen., 62' pen.)
Zambo Anguissa (32')

Medel (40')
Mar 7, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
3-1
Bologna
Insigne (8', 76'), Osimhen (65')
Koulibaly (52'), Rui (85')
Soriano (73')
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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