Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
75.27% ( 0.04) | 15.25% ( -0.01) | 9.48% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.91% ( -0.06) | 35.09% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.91% ( -0.06) | 57.09% ( 0.06) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.17% ( -0.01) | 7.83% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.22% ( -0.01) | 27.78% ( 0.01) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.87% ( -0.1) | 45.13% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.96% ( -0.08) | 81.04% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 75.26% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 15.25% | 1-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 9.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
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