Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
44.47% | 27.54% | 27.99% |
Both teams to score 46.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.58% | 58.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.98% | 79.02% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.33% | 36.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.54% | 73.46% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |