Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese2 - 2Spezia
We said: Udinese 1-1 Spezia
With both teams struggling for wins in recent times, we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides lacking confidence at present. Udinese have drawn five of their last seven matches at home, while Spezia are likely to be desperate to impress their new manager by avoiding defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
59.51% ( 0.15) | 22.01% ( -0.16) | 18.48% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.34% ( 0.69) | 45.65% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.02% ( 0.66) | 67.98% ( -0.66) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.04% ( 0.28) | 14.96% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.63% ( 0.54) | 43.37% ( -0.54) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.41) | 38.5% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.75% ( 0.39) | 75.25% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Udinese 59.51%
Spezia 18.48%
Draw 22%
| Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.48% |
How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia
Udinese
72.9%Draw
18.6%Spezia
8.5%59
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
