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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Spezia Calcio logo

Udinese
2 - 2
Spezia

Beto (22'), Pereyra (55')
Ehizibue (58'), Becao (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
N'Zola (6', 72')
Nikolaou (76'), Shomurodov (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-1 Spezia

With both teams struggling for wins in recent times, we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides lacking confidence at present. Udinese have drawn five of their last seven matches at home, while Spezia are likely to be desperate to impress their new manager by avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
UdineseDrawSpezia
59.51% (0.153 0.15) 22.01% (-0.159 -0.16) 18.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.3% (0.526 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.694 0.69)45.65% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.657 0.66)67.98% (-0.657 -0.66)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.283 0.28)14.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.538 0.54)43.37% (-0.537 -0.54)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.413 0.41)38.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.392 0.39)75.25% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 59.51%
    Spezia 18.48%
    Draw 22%
UdineseDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.99% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.51%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.5% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-2 @ 4.98% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.48%

How you voted: Udinese vs Spezia

Udinese
72.9%
Draw
18.6%
Spezia
8.5%
59
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
May 14, 2022 5pm
Udinese
2-3
Spezia
Molina (26'), Mari (90+4')
Nuytinck (18'), Pereyra (72'), Arslan (90+5')
Verde (35'), Gyasi (45+3'), Maggiore (47')
Gyasi (19'), Kiwior (80')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Jan 31, 2021 11.30am
Spezia
0-1
Udinese

Pobega (23'), Vignali (39'), Bastoni (66'), Acampora (69'), Saponara (82')
Saponara (86')
De Paul (52' pen.)
Bonifazi (16'), De Paul (71'), De Maio (90')
De Paul (75')
Sep 30, 2020 5pm
Udinese
0-2
Spezia
Galabinov (29', 90+4')
Terzi (39'), Ferrer (79'), Ramos (86'), Farias (90+4')
Terzi (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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