Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alessandria in this match.