Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.