We say: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan
One extra day of rest for Inter could prove crucial, as they already have a deeper squad than their city rivals and come into this final in much better form.
Milan are still brittle, with several players operating below their best, so the black-and-blue side of the city should celebrate a record-equalling Supercoppa number nine.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw has a probability of 23.4% and a win for Winner Semi-final 2 has a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Winner Semi-final 2 win it is 0-1 (6.27%).