Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.