Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Desna Chernihiv win it was 1-0 (7.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.