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Bala Town logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
2 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Newell (17'), Arsan (25')
Arsan (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Davies (58')
MacDonald (26'), Little (37'), Yorwerth (53'), Harling (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-1 Bala Town
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
33.85% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 28.89% (-0.0029999999999966 -0) 37.26% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)33.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.63% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (0.037999999999997 0.04)31.72% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (0.044 0.04)68.14% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 33.85%
    Pen-y-Bont 37.25%
    Draw 28.88%
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.25%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
2-2
Bala Town
Clutton (4'), Owen (88')
Nalatche Mendes (61')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bala Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Wall (62')
Georgievsky (11')
Aug 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Bala Town
Kavanagh (58', 63')
Little (90+1')
Snaith (78')

Smith (45+1'), Nalatche Mendes (85'), Edwards (85')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Bala Town
11-0
Pen-y-Bont
Kay (19'), Spittle (83', 84', 85'), Ebbe (30', 47'), Evans (31'), Nalatche Mendes (34', 69'), Rutherford (52', 80'), Bauress (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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