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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
2 - 1
Pen-y-Bont

Newell (17'), Arsan (25')
Arsan (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Davies (58')
MacDonald (26'), Little (37'), Yorwerth (53'), Harling (81')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-1 Bala Town
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-0 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
33.85% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 28.89% (-0.0029999999999966 -0) 37.26% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 45.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)33.96% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.63% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (0.037999999999997 0.04)31.72% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (0.044 0.04)68.14% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 33.85%
    Pen-y-Bont 37.25%
    Draw 28.88%
Bala TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.85%
1-1 @ 13.35%
0-0 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 4.14%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.72% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.25%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
2-2
Bala Town
Clutton (4'), Owen (88')
Nalatche Mendes (61')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Bala Town
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Wall (62')
Georgievsky (11')
Aug 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Pen-y-Bont
2-0
Bala Town
Kavanagh (58', 63')
Little (90+1')
Snaith (78')

Smith (45+1'), Nalatche Mendes (85'), Edwards (85')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Bala Town
11-0
Pen-y-Bont
Kay (19'), Spittle (83', 84', 85'), Ebbe (30', 47'), Evans (31'), Nalatche Mendes (34', 69'), Rutherford (52', 80'), Bauress (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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