Haverfordwest

1 - 3

Connah's Quay

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.