Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Women win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading Women would win this match.
