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Women's Super League | Gameweek 8
Nov 16, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
0 - 3
Arsenal


Spence (23'), Hunt (53'), Summanen (90'), Gunning-Williams (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Russo (2'), Maanum (22'), Blackstenius (66')
McCabe (73'), Cooney-Cross (78'), Catley (90')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal convincingly earn the North London derby bragging rights over Tottenham Hotspur with a 3-0 victory over their WSL rivals at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Tottenham Hotspur Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Spurs
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Juventus 0-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, November 12 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 0-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Women win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawArsenal Women
20.44% (-2.015 -2.02) 20.76% (0.0040000000000013 0) 58.78% (2.009 2.01)
Both teams to score 60.07% (-3.178 -3.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.96% (-2.777 -2.78)37.03% (2.775 2.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.77% (-3.07 -3.07)59.22% (3.068 3.07)
Tottenham Hotspur Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-3.369 -3.37)31.44% (3.366 3.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-4.085 -4.09)67.82% (4.082 4.08)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)12.37% (0.315 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.76% (-0.666 -0.67)38.23% (0.662 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Women 20.44%
    Arsenal Women 58.78%
    Draw 20.76%
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.336 -0.34)
1-0 @ 4.5% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 2.6% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.395 -0.4)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.348 -0.35)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 20.44%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.309 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.426 -0.43)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.505 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.297 -0.3)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.76%
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 8.49% (0.918 0.92)
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.968 0.97)
1-3 @ 6.85% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.92% (0.575 0.58)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.349 -0.35)
1-4 @ 3.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.266 0.27)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-5 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.29% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 58.78%

How you voted: Spurs vs Arsenal

Tottenham Hotspur Women
23.1%
Draw
15.4%
Arsenal Women
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 15
Arsenal
1-0
Spurs
Russo (49')
Wubben-Moy (65'), McCabe (80')

Ahtinen (79'), Summanen (82'), Spence (83'), Clinton (85')
Dec 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Spurs
1-0
Arsenal
Thomas (58')
Votikova (70')

Wubben-Moy (63')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Spurs
1-5
Arsenal
England (39' pen.)
Blackstenius (5'), Foord (29', 70'), Little (66' pen.), Maanum (76')
Sep 24, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal
4-0
Spurs
Mead (5'), Miedema (44', 69'), Souza (54')
May 4, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 18
Arsenal
3-0
Spurs
Mead (4'), Foord (71', 82')
McCabe (73')

Simon (24'), Summanen (57'), Green (73'), Clemaron (74')
rhs 2.0
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