World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Brazil1 - 1Uruguay
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualification fixture with Uruguay.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 3-2 Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Brazil 1-1 Uruguay
This is a really tough match for Brazil, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams here; Brazil have been far from their best during this qualification campaign, and we are expecting Uruguay to be good enough for a point on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Uruguay |
58.49% ( -0.49) | 24.03% ( 0.1) | 17.47% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 44.5% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
