MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 06:31:40| >> :600:2535157:2535157:
World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Brazil national football team

Chile
1 - 2
Brazil

Vargas (2')
Galdames (40'), Loyola (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jesus (45+1'), Henrique (89')
Paqueta (3'), Danilo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's World Cup qualifier away in Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Brazil
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Chile 0-2 Brazil

 Brazil are in an awful run of form, but there are not many better fixtures they could have been given to return to winning ways. Chile are in disarray, and after falling to an embarrassing home defeat to Bolivia, there is little to suggest manager Gareca can do enough with his squad in such a short space of time to compete with the strongest in South America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Chile had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawBrazil
34.96% (-1.393 -1.39) 26.68% (0.166 0.17) 38.36% (1.223 1.22)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.653 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.87% (-0.78100000000001 -0.78)53.12% (0.77800000000001 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.3% (-0.667 -0.67)74.7% (0.663 0.66)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02% (-1.224 -1.22)28.98% (1.22 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-1.54 -1.54)64.87% (1.537 1.54)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.33200000000001 0.33)26.97% (-0.335 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.434 0.43)62.3% (-0.439 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Chile 34.96%
    Brazil 38.36%
    Draw 26.67%
ChileDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-0 @ 5.99% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.81% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.402 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.325 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.089 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.168 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.04 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.36%

How you voted: Chile vs Brazil

Chile
14.7%
Draw
17.5%
Brazil
67.8%
143
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
Group Stage
Brazil
4-0
Chile
Neymar (44' pen.), Junior (45+1'), Coutinho (72' pen.), Richarlison (90+1')
Paqueta (22'), Casemiro (60'), Neymar (62'), Junior (72')

Diaz (62'), Bravo (69'), Medel (72')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2021 2am
Group Stage
Chile
0-1
Brazil

Vegas (87')
Ribeiro (64')
> Preview
Jul 3, 2021 1am
Quarter-Finals
Brazil
1-0
Chile
> Preview
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
3-0
Chile
Paulinho (55'), Jesus (57', 93')
> Match Report
Mar 29, 2015 3pm
International Friendlies
Brazil
1-0
Chile
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!