World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Peru1 - 0Uruguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Peru
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Peru 0-1 Uruguay
There have been just six goals in the last five meetings between these two nations, and Peru's profligacy matched with Uruguay's impressive defensive record makes a low-scoring away win look most likely. Sitting bottom of the standings, Peru did show some promising signs against Colombia last month, but even though they have the benefit of home advantage, their winless run against Uruguay is set to extend to five matches here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.32%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Peru had a probability of 26.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.95%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Uruguay |
26.37% ( -0.06) | 31.31% ( 0.11) | 42.32% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 36.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
