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Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 11, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Brazil national football team

Paraguay
1 - 0
Brazil

Gomez (20')
Bobadilla (45'), Gomez (45'), Alonso (70'), Almiron (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Paqueta (45+5'), Junior (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualifying clash against Paraguay

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Ecuador
Saturday, September 7 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Paraguay 0-2 Brazil

Brazil have been frustrated by a number of draws in Dorival's short time in charge, but we do not expect that to be an issue in Tuesday's contest because we believe that the visitors will showcase their extra quality to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
ParaguayDrawBrazil
16.59% (-0.363 -0.36) 24.5% (-0.115 -0.11) 58.92% (0.483 0.48)
Both teams to score 41.73% (-0.35 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)57.96% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.34% (-0.073 -0.07)78.66% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.9% (-0.532 -0.53)48.11% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (-0.393 -0.39)83.31% (0.396 0.4)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (0.151 0.15)19.59% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.48% (0.242 0.24)51.52% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 16.59%
    Brazil 58.92%
    Draw 24.49%
ParaguayDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 4.11% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 2.52% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.59%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.42% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 15.36% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 12.52% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.81% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.77% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 58.92%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Brazil

Paraguay
11.3%
Draw
13.7%
Brazil
75.0%
124
Head to Head
Jun 29, 2024 2am
Group Stage
Paraguay
1-4
Brazil
Alderete (48')
Balbuena (45+3'), Caballero (90+3')
Cubas (81')
Junior (35', 45+5'), Savio (43'), Paqueta (65' pen.)
Wendell (45+3'), Paqueta (70'), Junior (83')
Feb 2, 2022 12.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
4-0
Paraguay
Arzamendia (20'), Gonzalez (45+5'), Alonso (78')
Jun 9, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-2
Brazil
Gomez (21'), Bareiro (87'), Alonso (88'), Alderete (88')
Fred (43'), Jesus (76')
Jun 28, 2019 1.30am
Quarter-Finals
Brazil
0-0
Paraguay
Jun 9, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Brazil
P-P
Paraguay
rhs 2.0
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