MX23RW : Sunday, September 8 00:06:41| >> :120:53152:53152:
Iran national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Folad Shahr Stadium
Kyrgyzstan national football team

Iran
1 - 0
Kyrgyzstan

Taremi (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iran and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Iran 0-0 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iran 3-1 Kyrgyzstan

Iran have won 16 of their last 20 home matches in World Cup qualifying, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage again to begin the third stage with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 65.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 14.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.

Result
IranDrawKyrgyzstan
65.27% (1.795 1.79) 20.13% (-0.644 -0.64) 14.6% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (0.542 0.54)44.41% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.521 0.52)66.78% (-0.52 -0.52)
Iran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.696 0.7)12.8% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (1.407 1.41)39.12% (-1.406 -1.41)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (-1.232 -1.23)42.63% (1.233 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (-1.069 -1.07)78.98% (1.07 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Iran 65.26%
    Kyrgyzstan 14.6%
    Draw 20.13%
IranDrawKyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.33 0.33)
1-0 @ 11.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.42 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.138 0.14)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.314 0.31)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.158 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.169 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 65.26%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.303 -0.3)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.13%
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.274 -0.27)
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.274 -0.27)
0-2 @ 1.98% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.6%

How you voted: Iran vs Kyrgyzstan

Iran
83.3%
Draw
14.3%
Kyrgyzstan
2.4%
42
rhs 2.0
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