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Sierra Leone national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 4pm UK
 
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Sierra Leone
vs.
Guinea-Bissau

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Guinea-Bissau.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 0-2 Zambia
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-2 Mozambique
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 39%. A win for Sierra Leone has a probability of 33.63% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Sierra Leone win is 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result
Sierra LeoneDrawGuinea-Bissau
33.63% (-2.224 -2.22) 27.37% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 39% (2.294 2.29)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96% (0.082999999999998 0.08)56.04% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87% (0.067 0.07)77.12% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)
Sierra Leone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-1.386 -1.39)31.28% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-1.641 -1.64)67.63% (1.634 1.63)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (1.389 1.39)27.98% (-1.394 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (1.735 1.74)63.62% (-1.741 -1.74)
Score Analysis
    Sierra Leone 33.63%
    Guinea-Bissau 38.99%
    Draw 27.36%
Sierra LeoneDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.17% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.49 -0.49)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.63%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.14% (0.39 0.39)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.294 0.29)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.509 0.51)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.253 0.25)
0-3 @ 3.01% (0.322 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.12 0.12)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.99%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Guinea-Bissau
2-1
Sierra Leone
De Lacerda (35'), Franculino (48')
Mane (73'), Martinho Silva (90+6')
Bakayoko (6')
Kakay (23'), Samura (43'), Silva (90+6')
Jun 13, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Sierra Leone
2-2
Guinea-Bissau
Kargbo (77'), Kamara (87')
Jorginho (47', 52')
Gomes (55')
rhs 2.0
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