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Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Nov 30, 2024 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Auckland FC
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Moreno (83'), De Vries (89')
Rogerson (58'), Pijnaker (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Timmins (23'), Ingham (61'), Susnjar (65')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, November 24 at 5.15am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Central Coast
Friday, November 22 at 9am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 91.44%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-4 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.13%) and 1-4 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.99%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FCDrawNewcastle Jets
3% (0.778 0.78) 5.56% (1.203 1.2) 91.44% (-1.981 -1.98)
Both teams to score 58.5% (0.47 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.76% (-2.224 -2.22)10.24% (2.222 2.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
77.31% (-4.046 -4.05)22.69% (4.047 4.05)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.701 0.7)40.77% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.625 0.63)77.35% (-0.624 -0.62)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.76% (-0.38000000000001 -0.38)1.24% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.32% (-1.742 -1.74)6.68% (1.741 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 3%
    Newcastle Jets 91.44%
    Draw 5.56%
Auckland FCDrawNewcastle Jets
Other @ 3%
Total : 3%
1-1 @ 1.99% (0.5 0.5)
2-2 @ 1.96% (0.4 0.4)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 5.56%
0-4 @ 7.82% (0.224 0.22)
0-3 @ 7.13% (0.74 0.74)
1-4 @ 7.02% (0.33 0.33)
0-5 @ 6.87% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-3 @ 6.4% (0.772 0.77)
1-5 @ 6.16% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-6 @ 5.03% (-0.711 -0.71)
0-2 @ 4.87% (0.843 0.84)
1-6 @ 4.51% (-0.539 -0.54)
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.825 0.83)
0-7 @ 3.15% (-0.748 -0.75)
2-4 @ 3.15% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.394 0.39)
1-7 @ 2.83% (-0.605 -0.61)
2-5 @ 2.77% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 2.22% (0.526 0.53)
2-6 @ 2.02% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-8 @ 1.73% (-0.589 -0.59)
1-8 @ 1.55% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-7 @ 1.27% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 6.76%
Total : 91.44%

How you voted: Auckland FC vs Newcastle Jets

Auckland FC
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Newcastle Jets
12.5%
8
rhs 2.0
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