Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Nov 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Guillermo Laza
We said: Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
The hosts have struggled to create many chances in recent games, but it is difficult to see them losing given their strong home record.
Additionally, Velez Sarsfield also struggled in the final third last time out, and it would not be surprising if Monday's match was low scoring.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.37% . A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 24.37% .
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (8.09%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (10.34%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result Deportivo Riestra Draw Velez Sarsfield 24.37% ( -0.93) 29.26% ( -0.35) 46.37% ( 1.28)
Both teams to score 39.94% ( 0.12)
34.25% ( 0.52) 65.76% ( -0.52)
15.59% ( 0.36) 84.41% ( -0.36)
55.97% ( -0.57) 44.03% ( 0.57)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.86% ( -0.47) 80.15% ( 0.47)
71.36% ( 0.94) 28.64% ( -0.94)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.55% ( 1.16) 64.45% ( -1.16)
Deportivo Riestra 24.36%
Velez Sarsfield 46.36%
Draw 29.26%
Deportivo Riestra Draw Velez Sarsfield 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.36% 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.26% 0-1 @ 15.76% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.46% Total : 46.36%
How you voted: Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
Draw
Velez Sarsfield
31
rhs 2.0
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