We said: Arsenal Sarandi 0-1 Tigre
Even though Arsenal have got the better of Tigre in numerous encounters lately, the visitors' style seems well suited to catch Sarandi on the counter, while Retegui is a difference maker in the attacking third, and we suspect his quality will be enough to help them end their current slide.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.