MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:42:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 22, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
2 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Molinas (62'), Brizuela (88' og.)
Blondel (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cabrera (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigre

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Tigre
Saturday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 17 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Tigre 1-0 Velez Sarsfield

 Both sides are bereft of confidence following their respective winless runs in the Primera Division, but with a new coach at the helm, we think that Tigre could be rejuvenated, and as a result, we believe they will go on to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
46.47% (2.085 2.09) 27.58% (-1.264 -1.26) 25.95% (-0.826 -0.83)
Both teams to score 45.28% (2.673 2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (3.669 3.67)59.63% (-3.674 -3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (2.728 2.73)79.96% (-2.732 -2.73)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (2.799 2.8)25.7% (-2.802 -2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (3.656 3.66)60.61% (-3.66 -3.66)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (1.349 1.35)39.05% (-1.353 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (1.247 1.25)75.77% (-1.251 -1.25)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 46.46%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.95%
    Draw 27.57%
TigreDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.63% (-0.82 -0.82)
2-0 @ 9.27% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.489 0.49)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.399 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.505 0.51)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.296 0.3)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.233 0.23)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.46%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 10.03% (-1.48 -1.48)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.37 0.37)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.994 -0.99)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 25.95%

How you voted: Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield

Tigre
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Velez Sarsfield
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Tigre
2-0
Velez Sarsfield
Armoa (6'), Colidio (22')
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Velez Sarsfield
3-2
Tigre
Florentin (26'), Janson (33' pen.), Fernandez (40')
Janson (19'), Ortega (50'), Sosa (90+8')
Obando (23'), Prieto (87')
Cabrera (63'), Prieto (80')
Mar 4, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 21
Velez Sarsfield
1-2
Tigre
Abram (42')
Gianetti (71'), Gimenez (88')
Gonzalez (51', 78')
Prediger (21'), Galmarini (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!