Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 50.72%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.