Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 46.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Neman in this match.