Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.