Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.