Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.